# The simple regression model

Share Tweet Simple linear regression uses a solitary independent variable to predict the outcome of a dependent variable. The estimated value based on the fitted regression model for the new observation at is: The prediction interval values calculated in this example are shown in the figure below as Low Prediction Interval and High Prediction Interval, respectively.

The columns labeled Mean Predicted and Standard Error represent the values of and the standard error used in the calculations. Measures of Model Adequacy It is important to analyze the regression model before inferences based on the model are undertaken.

The following sections present some techniques that can be used to check the appropriateness of the model for the given data. These techniques help to determine if any of the model assumptions have been violated.

Coefficient of Determination R2 The coefficient of determination is a measure of the amount of variability in the data accounted for by the regression model.

As mentioned previously, the total variability of the data is measured by the total sum of squares. The amount of this variability explained by the regression model is the regression sum of squares. The coefficient of determination is the ratio of the regression sum of squares to the total sum of squares.

For the yield data example, can be calculated as: It may appear that larger values of indicate a better fitting regression model. However, should be used cautiously as this is not always the case. The value of increases as more terms are added to the model, even if the new term does not contribute significantly to the model.

Therefore, an increase in the value of cannot be taken as a sign to conclude that the new model is superior to the older model. Adding a new term may make the regression model worse if the error mean square,for the new model is larger than the of the older model, even though the new model will show an increased value of.

In the results obtained from the DOE folio, is displayed as R-sq under the ANOVA table as shown in the figure belowwhich displays the complete analysis sheet for the data in the preceding table. These values measure different aspects of the adequacy of the regression model.

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For example, the value of S is the square root of the error mean square,and represents the "standard error of the model. The values of S, R-sq and R-sq adj indicate how well the model fits the observed data.

Residual Analysis In the simple linear regression model the true error terms,are never known. The residuals,may be thought of as the observed error terms that are similar to the true error terms. Since the true error terms,are assumed to be normally distributed with a mean of zero and a variance ofin a good model the observed error terms i.

Thus the residuals in the simple linear regression should be normally distributed with a mean of zero and a constant variance of.

Residuals are usually plotted against the fitted values,against the predictor variable values,and against time or run-order sequence, in addition to the normal probability plot.U Spring 2 Closer Look at: Linear Regression Model Least squares procedure Inferential tools Confidence and Prediction Intervals Assumptions Robustness Model checking Log transformation (of Y, X, or both).

Notes. No constant is added by the model unless you are using formulas. Methods. Regression analysis is a statistical technique that attempts to explore and model the relationship between two or more variables.

For example, an analyst may want to know if there is a relationship between road accidents and the age of the driver.

Announcement How to Read the Output From Simple Linear Regression Analyses. This is the typical output produced from a simple linear regression of muscle .

## Simple Linear Regression Analysis - ReliaWiki

Chapter 9 Simple Linear Regression An analysis appropriate for a quantitative outcome and a single quantitative ex-planatory variable. The model behind linear regression. Linear regression is a very simple method but has proven to be very useful for a large number of situations. In this post, you will discover exactly how linear regression works step-by-step. After reading this post you will know: How to calculate a simple linear regression step-by-step. How to.

Linear regression - Wikipedia